Florida
W-L: (15- 4) PR = 93.4191Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 93.9) 10-12 217 A Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 8, 89.5) 17-13 221 N Clemson ACC (15- 6, 94.7) 14-13 225 A Stetson Atlantic Su ( 3-13, 75.5) 24- 8 228 A Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 11-14 307 H Mercer Big South (13- 7, 85.5) 23- 9 311 H Penn Ivy League ( 8- 8, 89.1) 18- 9 314 A Kennesaw State Atlantic Su ( 8-10, 74.6) 22- 7 321 H Dartmouth Ivy League ( 8- 7, 90.2) 13-10 329 A Arizona State Big 12 ( 8-10, 86.9) 14- 8 404 H Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 9- 7 408 H South Florida AAC (12- 5, 88.7) 14- 8 411 A San Diego State Big 12 ( 3-13, 79.6) 18- 6 415 H Jacksonville Atlantic Su (13- 6, 89.0) 12-11 418 A Cincinnati Big 12 ( 9- 8, 83.0) 16- 5 425 H UC Davis Big 12 ( 7- 9, 84.5) 19- 6 430 H UC Davis Big 12 ( 7- 9, 84.5) 22- 7 502 H Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 6- 8 508 N Denver Big East (16- 4, 93.8) 8-16
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Michigan 10-12 -2 1 - -2.87
217 A Loyola (MD) 17-13 4 3 1.48
221 N Clemson 14-13 1 -1 + 2.32
225 A Stetson 24- 8 16 17 0.00
228 A Navy 11-14 -3 -1 - -2.02
307 H Mercer 23- 9 14 9 ++ 4.69
311 H Penn 18- 9 9 6 + 3.35
314 A Kennesaw State 22- 7 15 17 0.00
321 H Dartmouth 13-10 3 5 -1.56
329 A Arizona State 14- 8 6 5 0.90
404 H Colorado 9- 7 2 1 1.12
408 H South Florida 14- 8 6 6 -0.08
411 A San Diego State 18- 6 12 12 -0.45
415 H Jacksonville 12-11 1 6 -- -4.75
418 A Cincinnati 16- 5 11 9 1.91
425 H UC Davis 19- 6 13 10 + 2.73
430 H UC Davis 22- 7 15 10 + 3.73
502 H Colorado 6- 8 -2 1 - -2.88
508 N Denver 8-16 -8 0 --- -7.64
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 N Denver 8-16 -8 0 --- -7.64 415 H Jacksonville 12-11 1 6 -- -4.75 213 H Michigan 10-12 -2 1 - -2.87 228 A Navy 11-14 -3 -1 - -2.02 502 H Colorado 6- 8 -2 1 - -2.88 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Mercer 23- 9 14 9 ++ 4.69 221 N Clemson 14-13 1 -1 + 2.32 311 H Penn 18- 9 9 6 + 3.35 425 H UC Davis 19- 6 13 10 + 2.73 430 H UC Davis 22- 7 15 10 + 3.73 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Michigan (13- 7, 93.9) 10-12 -5.98 34.19 -1.37 0.91 -3.35
3 A Loyola (MD) (12- 8, 89.5) 17-13 -10.37 29.80 1.37 0.91 56.84
3 N Clemson (15- 6, 94.7) 14-13 -5.16 35.01 -0.00 0.91 63.83
3 A Stetson ( 3-13, 75.5) 24- 8 -24.36 15.81 1.37 0.91 31.33
3 A Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 11-14 -6.87 33.29 1.37 0.91 -2.51
3 H Mercer (13- 7, 85.5) 23- 9 -14.42 25.75 -1.37 0.91 44.46
3 H Penn ( 8- 8, 89.1) 18- 9 -10.76 29.40 -1.37 0.91 51.12
3 A Kennesaw State ( 8-10, 74.6) 22- 7 -25.29 14.88 1.37 0.91 29.63
3 H Dartmouth ( 8- 7, 90.2) 13-10 -9.67 30.50 -1.37 0.91 53.12
3 A Arizona State ( 8-10, 86.9) 14- 8 -12.95 27.22 1.37 0.91 52.12
3 H Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 9- 7 -5.99 34.18 -1.37 0.91 59.83
3 H South Florida (12- 5, 88.7) 14- 8 -11.20 28.97 -1.37 0.91 50.33
3 A San Diego Stat ( 3-13, 79.6) 18- 6 -20.30 19.87 1.37 0.91 38.73
3 H Jacksonville (13- 6, 89.0) 12-11 -10.86 29.30 -1.37 0.91 50.94
3 A Cincinnati ( 9- 8, 83.0) 16- 5 -16.93 23.23 1.37 0.91 44.86
3 H UC Davis ( 7- 9, 84.5) 19- 6 -15.38 24.79 -1.37 0.91 42.71
3 H UC Davis ( 7- 9, 84.5) 22- 7 -15.38 24.79 -1.37 0.91 42.71
3 H Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 6- 8 -5.99 34.18 -1.37 0.91 -3.35
3 N Denver (16- 4, 93.8) 8-16 -6.12 34.05 -0.00 0.91 -2.79
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700.55
|
winning pts = 712.5541 losing points = -12.0032
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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